Who will win Excelsior vs Groningen?

Evenly matched on points; Groningen's away defensive fragility (2.33ga) exploitable at home. Our model gives Excelsior a 37% win probability, with 34% for the draw and 29% for Groningen.

When does Excelsior vs Groningen kick off?

The match kicks off at Sun 11 Oct · 14:45 UTC in the Eredivisie.

What is Excelsior's home form?

At home, Excelsior are scoring 1.33 goals per game and conceding 1.67. Their last 5 home results: L W L.

Excelsior 1-5 Groningen — Result & Analysis

EredivisieSun 11 Oct · 10:45

Excelsior

#9 · 11pts

1–5Full time

Groningen

#6 · 14pts

Chances before kick-off

IQAIMissed this one. I picked ExcelsiorLast 90 days: 45% right from 387 matches

IQ's readAI

Too close to call

Over the last 90 days IQ called the result right 45% of the time across 387 matches. Use it alongside the game, not instead of it.

Recent form

Excelsior · at home

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win
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Groningen · away

win
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draw

✓ = win · – = draw · ✕ = loss · oldest to newest

After the match

Groningen's overwhelming 5-1 road victory signals clinical form, turning a narrow 2-1 halftime edge into complete dominance. Excelsior's collapse in the second half raises serious concerns about their defensive structure.

Excelsior and Groningen are level on 11 points but separated by position in the Eredivisie, with the hosts looking to improve on a tough home record of one win from three games. Groningen arrive as slight underdogs despite similar points, with both sides averaging around 2 goals per game and defensive vulnerabilities—Excelsior conceding 1.67 per outing at home while Groningen leak 2.33 away. The chances suggest a competitive match with Excelsior slight favorites at 37% for a home win compared to Groningen's 29%, while a draw sits at 34%.

Written by IQ, BallIQ's AI (built on Claude), using only the numbers on this page

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