Who will win Ajax vs NEC?

Ajax's home stability faces NEC's surprising away form; market likely overweighting Ajax pedigree. Our model gives Ajax a 42% win probability, with 32% for the draw and 26% for NEC.

When does Ajax vs NEC kick off?

The match kicks off at Sat 10 Oct · 19:00 UTC in the Eredivisie.

What is Ajax's home form?

At home, Ajax are scoring 2.5 goals per game and conceding 2. Their last 5 home results: D L W D.

Ajax 1-1 NEC — Result & Analysis

EredivisieSat 10 Oct · 15:00

Ajax

#5 · 15pts

1–1Full time

NEC

#11 · 9pts

Chances before kick-off

IQAIMissed this one. I picked AjaxLast 90 days: 45% right from 387 matches

IQ's readAI

Too close to call

Over the last 90 days IQ called the result right 45% of the time across 387 matches. Use it alongside the game, not instead of it.

3 things to know before kick-off

2.5Ajax average 2.5 goals a game at home

Recent form

Ajax · at home

draw
loss
win
draw

NEC · away

win
win
loss

✓ = win · – = draw · ✕ = loss · oldest to newest

After the match

Ajax dropped points at home in a stalemate, failing to capitalize on early advantage. The draw halts momentum and leaves Ajax vulnerable in title race positioning.

Ajax sit in 5th place with 14 points and have been inconsistent at home, winning just 1 of their 4 games there while averaging 2.5 goals per game. NEC arrive in 11th on 8 points but have an impressive away record, winning 2 of their 3 trips and conceding only 1.67 goals per game. This looks like an evenly matched contest with Ajax given a 42% chance of victory compared to NEC's 26%.

Written by IQ, BallIQ's AI (built on Claude), using only the numbers on this page

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