Who will win Roma vs Real Madrid?

Roma's defensive solidity at home clashes with Madrid's travel fragility; form divergence favors host. Our model gives Roma a 33% win probability, with 35% for the draw and 32% for Real Madrid.

When does Roma vs Real Madrid kick off?

The match kicks off at Wed 14 Oct · 19:00 UTC in the Champions League.

What is Roma's home form?

At home, Roma are scoring 2.67 goals per game and conceding 1. Their last 5 home results: W W D.

Roma 3-4 Real Madrid — Result & Analysis

Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct · 15:00

Roma

#25 · 2pts

3–4Full time

Real Madrid

#11 · 4pts

Chances before kick-off

IQAIMissed this one. I picked a drawLast 90 days: 45% right from 388 matches

IQ's readAI

Too close to call

Over the last 90 days IQ called the result right 45% of the time across 388 matches. Use it alongside the game, not instead of it.

3 things to know before kick-off

2.7Roma average 2.7 goals a game at home

Recent form

Roma · at home

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Real Madrid · away

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✓ = win · – = draw · ✕ = loss · oldest to newest

After the match

Real Madrid's 4-3 away win shows attacking potency despite conceding three. Roma's second-half collapse after level at HT raises defensive concerns. Madrid's ability to score in volume keeps them in strong position.

Roma come into this Champions League clash in impressive home form, having won 2 of their last 3 matches at their venue with an average of 2.67 goals per game, though they sit 22nd in the table with just 1 point. Real Madrid are inconsistent on their travels with 2 wins and 2 losses from 4 away games, averaging 1.5 goals both for and against. This looks like a tight affair with the chances virtually split three ways—a Roma win at 33%, a draw at 35%, and a Real Madrid win at 32%.

Written by IQ, BallIQ's AI (built on Claude), using only the numbers on this page

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